Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
