Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 35.49%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 2-1 (6.66%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (13.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
