Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.