MX23RW : Saturday, January 14 00:40:02
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawHearts
22.4%25.44%52.15%
Both teams to score 47.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32%54.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24%76%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.44%39.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75%76.25%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.01%20.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.25%53.76%
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 22.4%
    Hearts 52.15%
    Draw 25.44%
St MirrenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-1 @ 5.57%
2-0 @ 3.57%
3-1 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.35%
3-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.4%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 8.3%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 12.96%
0-2 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 9.38%
0-3 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 4.88%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-4 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 52.15%

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Scottish Premiership Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic21191165174858
2RangersRangers21154248202849
3Hearts2110563731635
4Aberdeen2192103532329
5Livingston208482028-828
6St Mirren207672227-527
7Hibernian2182112735-826
8St Johnstone2173112432-824
9Kilmarnock2155111735-1820
10Motherwell2054112531-619
11Dundee UnitedDundee Utd2054112335-1219
12Ross County2144131434-2016
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