Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
