SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
55.96% ( 0.01) | 24.38% ( 0) | 19.66% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.1% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.38% ( -0) | 53.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.88% ( -0) | 75.12% ( 0.01) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% ( 0) | 19.05% ( -0) |
