SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
62.36% ( -0.2) | 20.61% ( -0.01) | 17.04% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.17% ( 0.42) | 41.83% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.77% ( 0.42) | 64.23% ( -0.42) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.15% ( 0.07) | 12.85% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.78% ( 0.15) | 39.22% ( -0.15) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% ( 0.5) | 37.9% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.33% ( 0.49) | 74.67% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 62.35% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.61% | 0-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.24% Total : 17.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 9 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
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