SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Raith Rovers |
45.17% ( -0.37) | 26.11% ( -0.07) | 28.72% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 51.37% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.28% ( 0.49) | 52.72% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.65% ( 0.42) | 74.35% ( -0.41) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( 0.04) | 23.27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.81% ( 0.05) | 57.19% ( -0.05) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% ( 0.6) | 33.05% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.36% ( 0.66) | 69.64% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.17% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.08)Other @ 1% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 58 | 45 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 51 |
| 4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 44 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 56 | -28 | 29 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 27 |
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