SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
49.09% ( -0.16) | 26.85% ( 0.13) | 24.06% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.62% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.63% ( -0.42) | 58.37% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.02% ( -0.33) | 78.98% ( 0.33) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( -0.26) | 23.88% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.92% ( -0.37) | 58.08% ( 0.37) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.94% ( -0.21) | 40.06% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.29% ( -0.19) | 76.71% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 33 |
| 2 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 27 | 31 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 25 |
| 4 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
| 6 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
| 9 | Arbroath | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 12 |
| 10 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
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