SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Cove Rangers |
55.67% ( -0.01) | 22.74% ( -0.02) | 21.58% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.4% ( 0.09) | 44.6% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.03% ( 0.09) | 66.97% ( -0.09) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% ( 0.03) | 15.87% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.92% ( 0.05) | 45.08% ( -0.06) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.31% ( 0.07) | 34.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.59% ( 0.07) | 71.41% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.63% 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 55.67% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 21.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 59 |
| 2 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 59 | 45 | 14 | 58 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 55 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 53 |
| 5 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 33 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 30 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 37 | 73 | -36 | 30 |
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