MX23RW : Saturday, January 28 22:29:18
SM
Saturday, January 28
Dec 18, 2021 at 3pm UK at Gayfield Park
Arbroath
2 - 1
Morton
Hamilton (48'), Dowds (80')
Hamilton (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oliver (74')
Hynes (62')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Greenock Morton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawGreenock Morton
54.25%25.71%20.04%
Both teams to score 44.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.04%57.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.35%78.65%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55%21.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.53%54.46%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.08%43.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.94%80.05%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 54.25%
    Greenock Morton 20.04%
    Draw 25.7%
ArbroathDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 14.5%
2-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 4.71%
4-0 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3%
Total : 54.25%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 9.42%
2-2 @ 3.78%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 7.75%
1-2 @ 4.91%
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.04%

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Scottish Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Queen's ParkQueen's Park22124644301440
2Ayr UnitedAyr22116546291739
3Dundee21115536251138
4Partick ThistlePartick2210394237533
5Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness228773230231
6Greenock MortonMorton218672924530
7Raith Rovers238693031-130
8Cove Rangers2257103047-1722
9Arbroath2349102237-1521
10Hamilton AcademicalHamilton2245131839-2117
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