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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 25, 2021 at 5pm UK
Lokomotiv Stadium
Lokomotiv
2 - 1
Sochi
Yurganov (41' og.), Jedvaj (49')
Rybus (24'), Beka Beka (56'), Pablo (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Joaozinho (90+3')
Noboa (30'), Prokhin (50'), Terekhov (69')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Sochi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawSochi
41.12%26.27%32.61%
Both teams to score 52.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.13%51.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37%73.62%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1%24.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48%59.52%
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13%29.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04%65.95%
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 41.11%
    Sochi 32.61%
    Draw 26.26%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawSochi
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 8.69%
2-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 41.11%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.99%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.61%

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Russian Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Zenit St PetersburgZenit26204268155364
2CSKA MoscowCSKA26156548242451
3RostovRostov26148444341050
4Spartak Moscow26147557352249
5Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny2613494134743
6FC KrasnodarKrasnodar26126855421342
7Dynamo Moscow2612684435942
8OrenburgOrenburg26123114950-139
9Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv26105114542335
10Sochi26104123548-1334
11Ural YekaterinburgUral2676132741-1427
12Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov2667132642-1625
13Fakel26412103345-1224
14Nizhny Novgorod2665152749-2223
15KhimkiKhimki2645172458-3417
16Torpedo Moskva2634192049-2913
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