Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
