SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
36.81% ( 0.46) | 25.66% ( 0.09) | 37.52% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.32% ( -0.38) | 48.68% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.2% ( -0.35) | 70.79% ( 0.35) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( 0.08) | 25.76% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.29% ( 0.11) | 60.71% ( -0.11) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.48) | 25.37% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.83% ( -0.66) | 60.16% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.81% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Porto | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Estrela Amadora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | SC FarenseFarense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | ChavesChaves | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Vizela | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Rio AveRio Ave | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
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