Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
