Incredibly, five of the last six Premier League matches between these two sides have finished 1-1, and we have had to back the same scoreline on Friday night. Newcastle will be desperate to end their losing run, and the Magpies should be good enough for a point in front of their own supporters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match.
