SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | -5 | 51 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | 73 | 93 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 76.13%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 8.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.45%) and 0-1 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-0 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Manchester City |
8.63% ( 0.27) | 15.24% ( 0.22) | 76.13% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 46.69% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.91% ( -0.11) | 38.08% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.64% ( -0.12) | 60.36% ( 0.11) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.94% ( 0.54) | 49.06% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16% ( 0.38) | 84% ( -0.38) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.65% ( -0.13) | 8.35% ( 0.13) |
