MX23RW : Saturday, April 8 19:46:53
SM
Liverpool vs. Arsenal: 19 hrs 43 mins
Feb 26, 2022 at 3pm UK at Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford
0 - 2
Newcastle

Ajer (45+1'), Mbeumo (84'), Janelt (90+5')
Dasilva (11')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Joelinton (33'), Willock (44')
Dubravka (68')

We said: Brentford 1-2 Newcastle United

Brentford's form in recent weeks has been extremely disappointing, and this is another tough match against an in-form Newcastle outfit. The Bees will fancy their chances of scoring at least once, but we are expecting Howe's side to pick up another huge three points in their battle to avoid the drop. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 26.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawNewcastle United
45.89%27.69%26.42%
Both teams to score 45.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.27%59.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97%80.03%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97%26.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94%61.07%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.3%38.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.56%75.44%
Score Analysis
    Brentford 45.89%
    Newcastle United 26.42%
    Draw 27.68%
BrentfordDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 13.56%
2-0 @ 9.13%
2-1 @ 8.66%
3-0 @ 4.09%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-1 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 45.89%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 10.07%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 9.56%
1-2 @ 6.11%
0-2 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 26.42%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal29233370274372
2Manchester CityMan City29214475274867
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle291511348212756
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd2917574437756
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs30165955421353
6Aston Villa30145114140147
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28137852361646
8Liverpool28127948331543
9Brentford30101374740743
10Fulham29116123940-139
11Chelsea30109112931-239
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3087152442-1831
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham2986152739-1230
14Crystal Palace2979132439-1530
15Bournemouth3086162857-2930
16Leeds UnitedLeeds2978143849-1129
17Everton3069152343-2027
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3069152454-3027
19Leicester CityLeicester3074194052-1225
20Southampton3065192451-2723
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