SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | -5 | 51 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| 6 | Manchester United | 38 | 0 | 58 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
22.9% ( 3.7) | 23.59% ( 1.38) | 53.5% ( -5.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.93% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.2% ( -1.35) | 46.8% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( -1.28) | 69.06% ( 1.28) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.31% ( 2.9) | 34.69% ( -2.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.58% ( 2.95) | 71.42% ( -2.95) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.57% ( -2.24) | 17.43% ( 2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.13% ( -4.06) | 47.87% ( 4.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.77)2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.66)3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.41)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.3)Other @ 2.09% Total : 22.9% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.66) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.9)1-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.54)0-3 @ 5.37% ( -1)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.45)0-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.65)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.72% Total : 53.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 89 | 31 | 58 | 82 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 83 | 39 | 44 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 61 | 29 | 32 | 65 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 63 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 62 |
| 6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 64 | 57 | 7 | 57 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 62 | 40 | 22 | 55 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 54 |
| 9 | Brentford | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 50 |
| 10 | Fulham | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 45 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 40 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 67 | -30 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 30 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 |
| 18 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 30 |
| 19 | Everton | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 29 |
| 20 | Southampton | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 24 |
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