MX23RW : Monday, February 13 00:29:34
SM
Merseyside derby: 19 hrs 30 mins
Feb 20, 2022 at 2pm UK at Elland Road
Leeds
2 - 4
Man Utd
Rodrigo (53'), Raphinha (54')
Struijk (61'), Ayling (68'), Forshaw (76'), Raphinha (81'), Firpo (90+2'), Klich (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Maguire (34'), Fernandes (45+5'), Fred (70'), Elanga (88')
Ronaldo (56'), McTominay (78'), Shaw (90+2')

We said: Leeds United 1-2 Manchester United

Elland Road will be bouncing on Sunday, with the Leeds fans desperate to get one over on their rivals, and it should be an entertaining game between two attacking sides. The Whites have more than enough quality to find the back of the net, but we believe that Man United will shade a close contest to secure another important three points in their pursuit of a top-four finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawManchester United
26.12%23.24%50.64%
Both teams to score 58.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.83%42.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.42%64.58%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49%65.51%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23%16.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29%46.71%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 26.12%
    Manchester United 50.64%
    Draw 23.24%
Leeds UnitedDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 6.58%
1-0 @ 6.04%
2-0 @ 3.69%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 26.12%
1-1 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-1 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 7.89%
1-3 @ 5.73%
0-3 @ 4.7%
2-3 @ 3.5%
1-4 @ 2.56%
0-4 @ 2.1%
2-4 @ 1.56%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 50.64%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal21163246182851
2Manchester CityMan City22153456223448
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd23144538281046
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle221011135132241
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs2312384235739
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton21105639281135
7Fulham2310583430435
8Brentford2281043629734
9Chelsea228772322131
10Liverpool208573428629
11Aston Villa2284102634-828
12Crystal Palace226792030-1025
13Leicester CityLeicester2273123638-224
14Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2266101737-2024
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2265111731-1423
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2255121927-820
17Leeds UnitedLeeds2247112838-1019
18Everton2146111628-1218
19Bournemouth2246122044-2418
20Southampton2243151840-2215
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