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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 16 | -10 | 13 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 14 | -7 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Toronto | 14 | -6 | 15 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 16 | -10 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chicago Fire.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | DC United |
53.27% ( -0.18) | 24.26% ( 0.02) | 22.47% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.3% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.97% ( 0.07) | 50.03% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( 0.07) | 72% ( -0.07) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% ( -0.04) | 18.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.91% ( -0.07) | 50.09% ( 0.07) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.11% ( 0.19) | 36.88% ( -0.19) |
