Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.