Nice have had difficulty winning at home, however, they have won their last three fixtures versus Lens in Ligue 1, and they have been more consistent than their opponents, who seem to struggle in close games, conceding a goal beyond the 90th minute in their last two league fixtures.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nice in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nice.
