Nantes will have gained some confidence from their recent win, but Lens likely gained more from their draw against the mighty PSG. We are backing them to defy their recent away record and secure a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
