MX23RW : Sunday, March 12 21:28:54
SM
Sunday, March 12
Dec 1, 2021 at 8pm UK at Stade Gabriel Montpied
Clermont
2 - 2
Lens
Magnin (41'), Bayo (65')
Gastien (9'), Ogier (38'), Gastien (62'), Hamel (81'), Gastien (85'), Dossou (86')
Diaby (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gastien (12' og.), Fofana (47')
Danso (15'), Haidara (36'), Clauss (56'), Frankowski (69'), Jean (90+5')

We said: Clermont 0-2 Lens

While Lens are far from their best, they meet a Clermont side lacking any confidence and should be able to get over the line. Since the rapid start, the hosts have struggled to adjust to life in the top flight, and we see them being brushed aside by a strong Lens team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
ClermontDrawLens
40.07%26.81%33.12%
Both teams to score 51.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.03%53.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.58%75.41%
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42%61.58%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42%30.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19%66.81%
Score Analysis
    Clermont 40.06%
    Lens 33.12%
    Draw 26.81%
ClermontDrawLens
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 8.48%
2-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.08%
2-2 @ 5.02%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.57%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.67%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.12%

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Ligue 1 Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG27213368264266
2Marseille26174549252455
3Lens27159344212354
4MonacoMonaco27156655371851
5Rennes27145845291647
6Lille27137749361346
7Nice271110636241243
8Reims27101343526943
9Lorient2712784036443
10Lyon27117942311140
11Toulouse27105124346-335
12Clermont2797112638-1234
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier27103144246-433
14NantesNantes27611102936-729
15Brest2758142844-1623
16Auxerre2758142349-2623
17StrasbourgStrasbourg26410123044-1422
18Ajaccio2763182048-2821
19Troyes2748153659-2320
20Angers2724212160-3910
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