Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nantes in this match.