Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
