MX23RW : Saturday, March 4 22:12:55
SM
Liverpool vs. Man Utd: 18 hrs 17 mins
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK at Portman Road
Ipswich
3 - 0
Burton Albion
Jackson (1'), Burns (62'), Celina (78')
Evans (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Blake-Tracy (66'), Niasse (67')

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Burton Albion

Burton have done well to stabilise themselves in League One this season, given the situation the club was facing when Hasselbaink arrived last season. However, Ipswich are a well oiled machine at the moment and should be good money for three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawBurton Albion
55.17%24.01%20.82%
Both teams to score 49.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18%50.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29%72.71%
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7%18.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.63%49.37%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.03%38.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3%75.7%
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 55.17%
    Burton Albion 20.82%
    Draw 24.01%
Ipswich TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.11%
2-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 5.82%
3-1 @ 5.49%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-0 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 55.17%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 7.13%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.72%
1-2 @ 5.38%
0-2 @ 3.17%
1-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 20.82%

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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33228360223874
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth34218561372471
3Ipswich TownIpswich341812465313466
4Bolton WanderersBolton36189951282363
5Derby CountyDerby341710755312461
6Barnsley32186849282160
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe331661145321354
8Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury34157124336752
9Peterborough UnitedPeterborough331631453411251
10Portsmouth33131284537851
11Lincoln CityLincoln3391773233-144
12Exeter CityExeter341110134544143
13Port Vale35127163549-1443
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood341012123635142
15Bristol Rovers34119144755-842
16Charlton AthleticCharlton341011134546-141
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3599173645-936
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham34106182646-2036
19Burton Albion3398164062-2235
20Accrington StanleyAccrington32810142848-2034
21Morecambe34711163353-2032
22MK Dons3586213154-2330
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3485212655-2929
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3558222766-3923
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