MX23RW : Sunday, February 26 04:56:13
SM
EFL Cup final: 11 hrs 33 mins
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK at Stadium MK
MK Dons
0 - 0
Ipswich

Watson (52'), Lewington (54'), Coventry (83')
FT

Thompson (63'), Bakinson (67'), Morsy (88')

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Ipswich Town

Both sides are in good form which is why it is unlikely either team will lose this weekend, but it is expected to be a low-scoring draw with the two teams not often involved in high-scoring encounters. With neither team scoring a lot of goals in their matches in recent weeks, they are likely to cancel each other out on Saturday with the spoils being shared in Milton Keynes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawIpswich Town
39.38%26.66%33.95%
Both teams to score 51.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79%53.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22%74.77%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56%26.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39%61.61%
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34%29.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29%65.7%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 39.37%
    Ipswich Town 33.95%
    Draw 26.66%
MK DonsDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.37%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 7.84%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 9.53%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 5.79%
1-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 33.95%

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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds32218359223771
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth33208559372268
3Ipswich TownIpswich331712461313063
4Bolton WanderersBolton34188850252562
5Barnsley31185849282159
6Derby CountyDerby32169751292257
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe321651144311353
8Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury33156124134751
9Peterborough UnitedPeterborough311621353401350
10Portsmouth31111284136545
11Fleetwood TownFleetwood331012113634242
12Exeter CityExeter33119134443142
13Bristol Rovers33118144755-841
14Charlton AthleticCharlton321010124544140
15Lincoln CityLincoln3181673032-240
16Port Vale34117163449-1540
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3499163644-836
18Burton Albion3298154058-1835
19Cheltenham TownCheltenham3296172544-1933
20Morecambe33710163353-2031
21Accrington StanleyAccrington31710142647-2131
22MK Dons3385203052-2229
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3385202654-2829
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3458212664-3823
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