MX23RW : Wednesday, February 15 00:36:16
SM
Arsenal vs. Man City: 18 hrs 53 mins
Feb 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Fratton Park
Portsmouth
2 - 1
Burton Albion
Raggett (33'), Jacobs (41')
Raggett (5'), Curtis (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ahadme (50')
Mancienne (18'), Powell (29'), Taylor (47'), Chapman (90+6')

We said: Portsmouth 1-2 Burton Albion

Despite losing on Saturday, Portsmouth can be pleased with their battling performance, but we think that they will fall short on Tuesday when they face a Burton side who have been successful on the road in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawBurton Albion
50.94%25.4%23.66%
Both teams to score 49.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6%53.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07%74.93%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02%20.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.26%53.74%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35%37.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.57%74.43%
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 50.94%
    Burton Albion 23.66%
    Draw 25.39%
PortsmouthDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.33%
2-0 @ 9.63%
2-1 @ 9.41%
3-0 @ 5.01%
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 50.94%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.72%
1-2 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 23.66%

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth31207457322567
2Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30198353203365
3Bolton WanderersBolton32178748232559
4Ipswich TownIpswich311512456312557
5Derby CountyDerby30159648252354
6Barnsley29165841271453
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe301551043291450
8Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury31146113933648
9Peterborough UnitedPeterborough29142134538744
10Portsmouth29101183736141
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17Fleetwood TownFleetwood30811113434035
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham3096152536-1133
19Burton Albion3087153857-1931
20MK Dons3185182846-1829
21Morecambe30610143249-1728
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2969142547-2227
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3075182551-2626
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3257202559-3422
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