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BA
League One | Gameweek 26
Mar 23, 2021 at 7pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
ST
Burton Albion
1 - 2
Shrewsbury
Clare (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Main (7'), Chapman (56')
Ogbeta (78'), Main (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawShrewsbury Town
32.38%28.67%38.95%
Both teams to score 45.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.02%60.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.02%80.98%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.29%34.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.56%71.44%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58%30.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38%66.62%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 32.37%
    Shrewsbury Town 38.94%
    Draw 28.66%
Burton AlbionDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 5.91%
3-1 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 32.37%
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 12.56%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-2 @ 7.48%
1-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.94%

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