SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Celta Vigo |
45.66% ( 0.04) | 26.45% ( -0.02) | 27.89% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.54% ( 0.09) | 54.46% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.18% ( 0.07) | 75.82% ( -0.08) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% ( 0.06) | 23.79% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.05% ( 0.09) | 57.94% ( -0.09) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.39% ( 0.03) | 34.61% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.66% ( 0.04) | 71.33% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 45.66% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
