This is a really tough test for Sevilla, particularly considering Celta's away form during the 2021-22 campaign. Lopetegui's side need to win to stay in touch with Real Madrid, though, and we are backing the home team to secure all three points courtesy of a narrow success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
