Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.67%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
