Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 2-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Real Madrid |
17.34% ( -0.01) | 20.61% ( -0) | 62.06% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.74% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.69% ( -0) | 41.32% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.29% ( -0) | 63.71% ( 0.01) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.76% ( -0.01) | 37.24% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.98% ( -0.01) | 74.03% ( 0.02) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.22% ( 0) | 12.78% |