SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 77.25%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 7.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 1-0 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
77.25% ( -0.72) | 14.98% ( 0.37) | 7.77% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 43.52% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60% ( -0.47) | 39.99% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.64% ( -0.48) | 62.35% ( 0.48) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.45% ( -0.28) | 8.55% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.43% ( -0.68) | 29.56% ( 0.67) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.58% ( 0.57) | 52.41% ( -0.57) |
