Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Las Palmas |
41.61% ( -0.07) | 28.57% ( -0.01) | 29.82% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 44.9% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.75% ( 0.06) | 61.24% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.82% ( 0.04) | 81.17% ( -0.05) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.99% ( -0.01) | 29.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.09% ( -0.02) | 64.91% ( 0.02) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.24% ( 0.1) | 36.75% ( -0.1) |