SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Villarreal |
55.66% ( -0.58) | 23.06% ( 0.11) | 21.28% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.66% ( 0.11) | 46.34% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.37% ( 0.1) | 68.62% ( -0.1) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( -0.16) | 16.48% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.79% ( -0.29) | 46.2% ( 0.29) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.05% ( 0.52) | 35.95% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.27% ( 0.53) | 72.73% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 55.65% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 7 | 36 | 56 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 45 |
| 3 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 39 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 38 |
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 32 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 31 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | GironaGirona | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 24 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 24 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Almeria | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 22 |
| 16 | CadizCadiz | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 22 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 21 |
| 18 | Valencia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 20 |
| 19 | Getafe | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 19 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 20 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 9 |
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