SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
44.85% ( -1.83) | 25.24% ( 0.47) | 29.92% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.47% ( -1.32) | 48.52% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.35% ( -1.22) | 70.65% ( 1.22) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( -1.35) | 21.64% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.24% ( -2.12) | 54.76% ( 2.11) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( 0.29) | 30.01% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.86% ( 0.35) | 66.13% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.85% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 39 |
| 2 | GironaGirona | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 34 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 31 |
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 28 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 26 |
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 24 |
| 9 | Getafe | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Valencia | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 19 |
| 12 | Villarreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 15 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 13 |
| 16 | CadizCadiz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 15 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
| 18 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 9 |
| 19 | Granada | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 7 |
| 20 | Almeria | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 4 |
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