SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Cadiz |
56.53% ( 0.02) | 24.47% ( -0.01) | 19% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.84% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.25% ( 0.01) | 54.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.94% ( 0.01) | 76.06% ( -0.01) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% ( 0.01) | 19.26% ( -0.01) |
