SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | FC Tokyo | 38 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Consadole Sapporo | 37 | -1 | 51 |
| 11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 2 | 49 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| 8 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38 | 5 | 54 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Consadole Sapporo | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
34.28% ( 0.8) | 27.63% ( 0.09) | 38.09% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.07% ( -0.23) | 56.93% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.16% ( -0.18) | 77.84% ( 0.18) |
| Consadole Sapporo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% ( 0.41) | 31.3% ( -0.41) |
