With the prospect of widespread changes being made, Blackburn will not have it all their own way in this fixture. Nevertheless, their superior quality off the substitutes' bench could prove decisive, and we are backing the visitors to edge this contest in the closing stages.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
