Confidence will be high within the Shrewsbury ranks after their victory in the FA Cup at the weekend. Nevertheless, there have been few signs of any let up from the Latics, who we are backing to enjoy a relatively stress-free 90 minutes on Wednesday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
