MX23RW : Saturday, September 2 20:56:49
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Saturday, September 2
Previews and predictions index
CU
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
ST
Carlisle
1 - 2
Shrewsbury
Gibson (90+1')
Whelan (8'), Clough (30'), Feeney (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bloxham (10'), Bowman (78')
Pennington (25'), Vela (49'), Udoh (54')

We said: Carlisle United 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

With both teams showing some signs of progress in their most recent games, this one could go either way depending on who does a better job of keeping up their momentum. We are backing the League One side to draw on their extra class and earn a narrow victory to progress to round three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shrewsbury Town.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
32.53%27.45%40.02%
Both teams to score 49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.45%56.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.47%77.53%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72%32.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.22%68.78%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35%27.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81%63.19%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 32.53%
    Shrewsbury Town 40.02%
    Draw 27.44%
Carlisle UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 5.71%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.53%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 11.47%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 7.38%
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.15%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.02%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400112912
2Tottenham HotspurSpurs4310114710
3West Ham UnitedWest Ham431094510
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton430112669
5Liverpool32106337
6Arsenal32105327
7Brentford41308536
8Aston Villa32018626
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd32014406
11Chelsea41125504
12Crystal Palace31112204
13Fulham4112410-64
14Newcastle UnitedNewcastle41037703
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves310225-33
16Bournemouth402248-42
17Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd401347-31
18Everton401328-61
19Luton TownLuton300329-70
20Burnley3003311-80
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