Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
