Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
