Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
