Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
