Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 54.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
