Heerenveen and Groningen have been impressive of late, so we expect a tight affair in this one, with both sides cancelling each other out and settling for a point apiece in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
